John Polga-Hecimovich
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In addition to my academic publications and teaching, I also occasionally contribute to the public discourse on topics relevant to my areas of academic expertise.
“
How Much of a Threat is Tren de Aragua in the U.S.?
”, December 9, 2024,
Americas Quarterly
, with Charles Larratt-Smith.
"
Who Has the Edge in Uruguay’s Runoff Election
?”,
The Latin America Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, October 30, 2024.
"
Who Has the Edge in Ecuador’s Election Next Year
?”,
The Latin America Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, August 30, 2024.
"
Will a Bicameral Congress Improve Peru’s Stability
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, April 30, 2024.
"
What Do Protests Mean for Ecuador’s Mining Industry
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, April 16, 2024.
“
Would Reforming Peru’s Congress Improve Stability
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, December 4, 2023.
“
Can Ecuador’s Next President Make the Country Safer
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, November 30, 2023.
“
What Would BRICS Expansion Mean for Latin America
?
”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, August 14, 2023.
“
Muerte Cruzada
and Ecuadorian Democracy
” in
Global Americans
, 7 June 2023.
"
Muerte cruzada
y la inestabilidad presidencial en América Latina
",
International IDEA
, 27 May 2023.
English version:
Politico Tech Global
“
Is Corruption in Uruguay Shaking the Public’s Trust
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, January 18, 2023.
“
Are Ecuador’s Indigenous Groups Gaining Power
?”,
The Latin American Advisor
, The Inter-American Dialogue, 3 November, 2022.
"
En defensa de los partidos políticos
", Zoom Electoral,
International IDEA
, 17 September 2022.
"
Ecuador’s Return to the Past
"
in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 27 July 2021.
“
Coup or No Coup: Conceptualizing the Capitol Attacks
” in Fruits and Votes, 7 February 2021.
"
What's at Stake in Ecuador's Presidential Vote?
" in
Latin American Advisor
, The Inter American Dialogue, 7 January 2021.
"
The Pandemic in Venezuela. Challenges and Side Effects
", in
ReVista, the Harvard Review of Latin America
, 4 November 2020.
"
Las elecciones, el 'Sunshine State' y Venezuela
"
, Agenda Pública in
El País
, (Spain), 8 September 2020.
"
Ecuador’s 2019 Local Elections
" for
Matthew Shugart's
Fruits and Votes
blog, 28 June 2020.
“
Ecuador: Growing Political and Economic Repercussions of COVID-19
”
in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 15May 2020.
“
Why the United States’ maximum pressure approach toward Nicolás Maduro is unlikely to stabilize Venezuela
”,
American Politics and Policy blog
, The London School of Economics, 28 April 2020.
Reprinted in the
LSE Latin America and Caribbean blog
, 11 May 2020.
"
Will Correa’s Graft Conviction Upend Ecuador’s Politics
?" in
Latin American Advisor
, The Inter American Dialogue, 14 April 2020.
“
Venezuela & COVID19 Geopolitics
” on the
Latin American Intersections Podcast
with Brian Fonseca and Michael Scadden, 2 April 2020.
“
Venezuela: ¿Estado débil o fallido?”
, Agenda Pública in
El País
, (Spain), 12 February 2020.
Reprinted by the
Fundación Manuel Giménez Abad
(El Salvador), 14 February 2020.
Summarized as "
Venezuela, ¿Estado débil o fallido?: así lo analiza El País de España
"
in
El Pitazo
(Caracas)
“
Politicization and the Institutional Legitimacy of the Venezuelan Armed Forces
”, in
Panoramas
, University of Pittsburgh, 18 October 2019.
“
Ecuador: President Moreno’s Pyrrhic Victory
”
in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 17 October 2019.
"
End of Violent Mass Protests in Ecuador? Austerity Package Canceled
", Warcast Podcast,
War on the Rocks
, 15 October 2019.
“
The parliamentarization of presidentialism—or just another presidential crisis?
” in
Global Americans
, 4 October 2019.
"
El impacto de las sanciones económicas de EE.UU. sobre Venezuela
",
Agenda Pública in
El País
, (Spain)
, 21 May 2019.
"
Venezuela Crisis with John Polga-Hecimovich
", Heinz Radio, Policy Series, 19 May 2019.
"
What do military service members think about diversity — especially gender diversity — in their ranks
?"
(with John M. Carey and Yusaku Horiuchi) in
The Washington Post's "
The Monkey Cage" blog, 2 May 2019.
"
Ecuador: Moreno Reverses Another Correa Policy
" in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 18 April 2019.
"
Why Venezuela’s oil money could keep undermining its economy and democracy
" (with Scott Morgenstern), in
The Conversation
, 8 February 2019.
Reprinted in
Public Radio International
,
Business Insider
,
The San Francisco Chronicle
,
The Houston Chronicle
,
WHYY (Philadelphia and Delaware)
,
WTOP (Washington, DC, Maryland, Virginia)
, and others
"
Juan Guiadó y Venezuela…¿evitan el golpe de estado?
",
Oraculus: Política y Gobierno
(Mexico), 31 January 2019.
"
AMLO ante la crisis venezolana, una falla política y moral
" (with Rafael D'Armas) for
Infobae
, 27 January 2019.
“
Two Presidents: Optimism and Caution for Venezuela
” on the
Latin American Intersections Podcast
with Michael Scadden, 25 January 2019.
“
Ecuador: Lenín Moreno's Balancing Act
” in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 6 November 2018.
“
Venezuela Update and China-Venezuela Relations
” on the
Latin American Intersections Podcast
with Michael Scadden, 26 July 2018.
“
The 'Real Venezuela' is Exactly What You Think
” in the University of Pittsburgh's
Panoramas
Blog, 12 June 2018.
“
Venezuelan Politics, Military, and Election Results
” on the
Latin American Intersections Podcast
with Michael Scadden, 8 June 2018.
“
Constitutional Change in Ecuador: Improving Democratic Accountability—and Constraining a Rival
” in
ConstitutionNet
, International IDEA, 31 March 2018.
“
Ecuador: Referendum Marks Critical Juncture for Moreno and Correa
” in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 2 February 2018.
“
Las municipales y panorama 2018
” on the
Venezuela Global
Podcast with José de Bastos and Mariano de Alba, 7 December 2017.
"
Getting Rid of the President
" (with Aníbal Pérez-Liñán) in the
Presidential Power
blog, 14 June 2017
“
Ecuador: Moreno's Victory Probably Not Enough
” in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 9 May 2017.
“
Cómo funcionaría un gobierno de coalición en Ecuador
” (with Andrés Mejía Acosta) in
4 Pelagatos
, 7 March 2017.
“
Ecuador votes on Sunday. These are 5 things you need to know
”, in
The Washington Post's "
The Monkey Cage" blog, 17 February 2017.
“
A Return to Political Instability for Ecuador?
” in American University’s
AULA Blog
, 17 February 2017.
“
The Venezuelan Mess
” on Dr. Gregory Weeks’ Podcast
Understanding Latin American Politics
, 1 November 2016.
“
Bringing International Pressure to Bear on Nicolás Maduro
”, “
Three Factors Driving Venezuela’s Impasse
”, and “
How Venezuela Got Into this Mess
” (with Matthew M. Taylor) in
Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
, 28 October 2016.
“
Brazil’s impeachment process is not a coup (or, how I learned to stop worrying and love impeachment)
” in
Latin America Goes Global
, 27 April 2016.
“
How Did Venezuela’s MUD Get Its Supermajority?
” in
Latin America Goes Global
, 14 December 2015
“
Party Nationalization after the 2013 Ecuadorian Legislative and Presidential Election
” (with Jason A. Eichorst), in
The Monkey Cage
, 14 March 2013.
“¿Cómo se mide la moralidad de las acciones de WikiLeaks?” in
Gurú Político
, 15 December 2010, Mexico City, Mexico.
“Asamblea y transparencia” in
Diario El Hoy
, Quito, Ecuador, 13 August 2009.
Home
Publications
CV
Op-eds
In the press
Teaching
Electoral Data
Blog