Publications

Books

2010. Políticos, militares y ciudadanos: un análisis de las caídas presidenciales en Ecuador (1997-2005), Quito: Corporación Editora Nacional-Abya Yala

Journal articles

2022. "Coaliciones reformistas y tipo de régimen: Una teoría del cambio electoral aplicado al Ecuador", Revista Ecuatoriana de Ciencia Política, 1(1): 81-100.
2022. "Venezuelan Regional Elections, Democratic Backsliding, and Autocratization in the 2010s", Regional and Federal Studies, 32(4): 437-458.
2021. "The Bureaucratic Perils of Presidentialism: Political Impediments to Good Governance in Latin America." Korean Journal of Policy Studies 36 (4):1-14.
2021. "Ecuador’s Return to the Past" (with Francisco Sánchez). Journal of Democracy, 32(3): 5-18.
2021. "Student Attitudes towards Campus Diversity at the United States Naval Academy: Evidence from Conjoint Survey Experiments" (with John C. Carey and Yusaku Horiuchi), Armed Forces & Society
- Replication data
2020. "Party, Candidate, and Voter Incentives under Free List Proportional Representation" (with Thomas J. Mustillo), The Journal of Theoretical Politics.
2019. "Bureaucracy and the Failure of Politics: Challenges to Democratic Governance", (with Kenneth J. Meier, Mallory Compton, Miyeon Song, and Cameron Wimpy), Administration & Society, 51(10): 1576-605.
2019. La presidencia del ejecutivo unitario de Rafael Correa. Revista Latinoamericana de Política Comparada, 15: 99-122.
2019. "Bureaucratic Politicization, Partisan Attachments, and the Limits of Public Agency Legitimacy: the Venezuelan Armed Forces under Chavismo". Latin American Research Review, 52(2): 476-498.
- Replication data
- Replication code
- Supplementary appendix
2019. "The Tools of Institutional Change under Post-Neoliberalism: Norms, Planning, and Growth of the State in Rafael Correa’s Ecuador" (with Francisco Sánchez), Journal of Latin American Studies, 51(2): 379-408.
2018. "Measures and Votes: Party Performance under Free List Proportional Representation with Evidence from Ecuador" (with Thomas J. Mustillo), Electoral Studies 56: 124-135.
- Replication data and supplementary appendix
2017. "Coups, Impeachments, and Presidential Exit in Latin America" (with Aníbal Pérez-Liñán), Democratization 24(5): 839-858.
- Replication data
2017. "Desempeño económico y movilización social como detonantes de las caídas presidenciales: propuesta teórica y aplicaciones al caso ecuatoriano" (with Santiago Basabe-Serrano) Perfiles latinoamericanos 25(50): 129-153.
2017. "Debates: Venezuela" LASA Forum (with Iñaki Sagarzazu and Raúl Sánchez Urribarrí), 48(1): 35-38.
2016. "The Organizational Consequences of Politics: A Research Agenda for the Study of Bureaucratic Politics in Latin America" (with Alejandro Trelles), Latin American Politics and Society 58(4): 56-79.
- Supplementary appendix
2015. "Here's the Bias! A (Re-)reassessment of the Chilean Electoral System" (with Peter Siavelis), Electoral Studies 40: 268–279.
2014. "Hacía una superación del clivaje regional? La evolución de la nacionalización de los partidos políticos ecuatorianos desde el retorno a la democracia", América Latina Hoy 67: 91-118.
- District-level legislative electoral returns
2014. "Ni Chicha ni Limoná: Party Nationalization in Pre-and Post-Authoritarian Chile" (with Scott Morgenstern and Peter Siavelis), Party Politics 20(5): 751–766.
- Supplementary appendix
2014. "Election Note: The 2013 Ecuadorian General Elections" (with Jason Eichorst), Electoral Studies 33: 361-365.
- District-level legislative electoral returns
2014. "Seven Imperatives for Improving the Measurement of Party Nationalization with Evidence from Chile" (with Scott Morgenstern and Peter M. Siavelis), Electoral Studies 33: 186-199.
- Supplemental appendix
2013. "Tall, Grande, or Venti, but not Short: Comparing Presidential Powers in the U.S. and Latin America" (with Scott Morgenstern and Sarah Shair-Rosenfield), Journal of Politics in Latin America, 5(2): 37-70.
2013. "Ecuador: Estabilidad institucional y la consolidación de poder de Rafael Correa", Revista de Ciencia Política, 33(1): 135-160.
2013. "Legislative Coalitions and Judicial Turnover under Political Uncertainty: The Case of Ecuador" (with Santiago Basabe) in Political Research Quarterly, 66(1): 153-165.
- Replication data
2011. "Coalition Erosion and Presidential Instability in Ecuador" (with Andrés Mejía Acosta) in Latin American Politics and Society, 53(2): 87-111.
- Spanish translation: 2011. "Soluciones parlamentarias a las crisis presidenciales en Ecuador" (with Andrés Mejía Acosta) in Revista Latinoamericana de Política Comparada, 4(1): 49-73.
2006. "Primary Elections and Candidate Strength in Latin America" (with John M. Carey) in Journal of Politics 68 (3): 530-543.
- Replication data

Book chapters

2023. "La persecución de los secretos: cómo las agencias de inteligencia se arriesgan a socavar a los líderes", in Inteligencia Estratégica: Pensamiento crítico e interconectado en un mundo global, Ed. M.D. Ordóñez, Alcalá: Marcial Pons, Ediciones Jurídicas y Sociales. 99-112. (with Cullen Nutt)
- English version: "Reining in the Spies: The Tradeoffs of Policymaker Control Over Intelligence"
2022. "Divergent paths of (de-)politicization: the Colombian and Venezuelan public administrations, in The Politics of Public Administration, Eds. A. Ladner and F. Sager, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. 380–392.
2021. "Venezuela: The Erosion of Security Capacity", in Security and Democracy in Latin America, Eds. G. Marcella, O. Pérez and B. Fonseca, Abingdon: Routledge. 157-174.
2021. "Two Nations, One Revolution: The Evolution of Contemporary Cuba-Venezuela Relations", in Venezuela's Authoritarian Allies: The Ties that Bind. Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center. 102-121. (with Brian Fonseca)
2020. "Hacía una superación del clivaje regional? La evolución de la nacionalización de los partidos políticos ecuatorianos desde el retorno a la democracia", in Antología de la Democracia Ecuatoriana, 1979-2020, Eds. M. Calderón, Quito: Instituto de la Democracia. 279-320.
2020. "Reshaping the State: The Unitary Executive Presidency of Rafael Correa", in Assessing the Left Turn in Ecuador, Eds. S. Pachano and F. Sánchez, New York: Palgrave Macmillan. 15-39.
2019. "Ideologia versus Capacidade: Dilma Rousseff, as Forças Armadas, e o Programa de Aceleração do Crescimento", in Instituições, Comportamento Politíco e Democracia, Ed. L. Santana, Alagoas: Editora Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL). 33-60.
2019. "Bureaucracy in Latin America", in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Latin American Politics, Ed. G. Prevost, Oxford: Oxford University Press
2019. "The Rise of Organized Crime in Venezuela under Chavismo", in The Criminalization of the State: The Relationship Between States and Organized Crime, Eds. J. Rosen, B. Bagley, and J. Chabat, Lanham: Lexington Press. 189-207.
2018. "Presidential Candidate Selection in Comparative Perspective", in Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science, Ed. Sandy Maisel, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
2018. "Explaining military coups and impeachments in Latin America", in The Military’s Impact on Democratic Development. Midwives or Gravediggers of Democracy?, Ed. D. Kuehn, London and New York: Routledge. 57-76. (with Aníbal Pérez-Liñán)
2018. "Against all odds: Unilateral Executives and Portfolio Allocation in Ecuador (1979-2015)," in Government Formation and Minister Turnover in Presidential Cabinets. Comparative Analysis in the Americas, ed. M. Camerlo and C. Martínez-Gallardo. London: Routledge (with Santiago Basabe-Serrano and Andrés Mejía Acosta).
2015. "Bureaucracy and Policy Implementation in Latin America", in Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (EPAP), Third Edition, M. Dubnick and D. Bearfield (Eds), New York: Taylor & Francis
2014. "Crisis económicas y protestas sociales como explicación de las caídas presidenciales: un análisis de causalidad coyuntural múltiple aplicado al caso ecuatoriano" (with Santiago Basabe-Serrano) in Democracia local y participación ciudadana, M.L. Eberhardt (Ed), Buenos Aires: Universidad Nacional Arturo Jauretche
2010. "Parliamentary Solutions to Presidential Crises" (with Andrés Mejía Acosta) in Presidential Crises in Latin America L. Marsteintredet and M. Llanos (Eds), New York: Palgrave MacMillan
- Spanish translation: 2011. "Soluciones parliamentarias a las crisis presidenciales" (with Andrés Mejía Acosta) in Algo más que Presidentes. El papel del Poder Legislativo en América Latina. M. Alcántara and M. García Montero (Eds), Zaragoza: Fundación Manuel Giménez Abad
2008. "The primary election 'bonus' in Latin America." (with John M. Carey) in Designing Democratic Government: Making Institutions Work M. Levi, J. Johnson, J. Knight, and S. Stokes (Eds), New York: Russell Sage Foundation Press

Policy Papers

2020. Two Nations, One Revolution: The Evolution of Contemporary Cuba-Venezuela Relations. Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center (with Brian Fonseca)
2019. Ecuadorian Military Culture. Miami: Florida International University
2019. A Transition from Above or from Below in Venezuela? Georgetown Journal of International Affairs Georgetown University (August 30).
2019. “Las nuevas sanciones económicas de los Estados Unidos contra Venezuela” in Foro Cubano, 2(10).
2018. “Constitutional Change in Ecuador: Improving Democratic Accountability—and Constraining a Rival” in ConstitutionNet, International IDEA (March 31).
2017. "The Roots of Venezuela’s Failing State". Origins: Current Events in Historical Perspective, 10(9).
- Spanish translation: 2017. "Las raíces del estado fallido venezolano"
2017. "In Venezuela’s Political Prisoner Revolving Door, Maduro is the Doorman". Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, Georgetown University (April 20).
2016. Venezuelan Military Culture, Miami: Florida International University (with Brian Fonseca and Harold Trinkunas)

Book Reviews

2016. Barry Cannon. The Right in Latin America. Elite Power, Hegemony and the Struggle for the State (New York & London: Routledge, 2016) in E-International Relations.
2015. Rosario Queirolo. The Success of the Left in Latin America (South Bend: Notre Dame University Press, 2013) in Democratization (with Peter Siavelis)
2013. Santiago Basabe. Jueces sin toga: políticas judiciales y toma de decisiones en el Tribunal Constitutional del Ecuador (1999-2007), (Quito: FLACSO Ecuador, 2011) in Revista de Ciencia Política 33(3): 729-733
2010. John M. Carey. Legislative Voting and Accountability (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008) in Política y Gobierno, XVII (2): 396-399.